Three years ago last month I wrote a column for AIN on the safety risks caused by government officials downplaying risks. What prompted that article then was the novel criminal prosecution of Italian seismologists for downplaying the likelihood of a devastating earthquake in the tiny town of L’Aquila, resulting in inadequate preparations when one struck and the deaths of more than 300 people. According to the prosecution, there were a number of indicators of a major earthquake in the preceding months that the seismologists failed to convey adequately to the public.
Of course, my interest was in how the issue of downplaying risk related to aviation. In that article, I talked about the image forever in my mind of the press conference literally at the site of the watery grave of hundreds of ValuJet victims in the Everglades where the then Secretary of Transportation, flanked by the then FAA Administrator, reassured the public that ValuJet was a safe airline. Of course, those assurances were undercut only weeks later when the FAA issued an emergency order revoking ValuJet’s air carrier certificate. Eventually, information was revealed that indicated the FAA had known long before the fiery crash of ValuJet Flight 592 that much was wrong with the way the airline was being operated. A number of high-level officials lost their jobs in the wake of those revelations. I don’t mean that anyone actually got fired. But in the FAA way–pretty typical of government in general (note that the VA Hospital scandal has resulted in a few retirements but no punishments, to date)–high-level officials were pressured to take early retirements or transfer to less high-profile positions far from 800 Independence Ave, SW.