Valour Study Predicts Just 6,824 eVTOLs In Operation By 2050 | Aviation International News

Valour Study Predicts 6,824 eVTOLs In Operation By 2050

Revised expectations feature a fleet largely based in China

EHang eVTOL operations in Guangzhou, China — China’s EHang, alongside local partner Guangdong EHang General Aviation, was granted the world’s first passenger-carrying eVTOL air operator’s certificate in March 2025. EHang’s EH216-S received Civil Aviation Administration of China type certification in

By Charlotte Bailey • News Reporter

June 23, 2026

In its new report The Future of Advanced Air Mobility 2026, UK-based Valour Consultancy has predicted that the in-service fleet of passenger-carrying eVTOLs will reach 6,824 by 2050. While acknowledging that this overall figure is “much more modest in size than the wildly optimistic projections” from the early 2020s, the company said air taxis are nevertheless still on track to “largely complement—not replace—existing modes of transport such as helicopters and light jets.”

Between now and 2050, report author Craig Foster expects the majority of the world’s eVTOL fleet to be based in China. Nowhere else in the world, he argued, is already building vertiports at scale: something China is able to do with its “uniquely centralized, top-down approach” and “generous [government] subsidies supporting the development of its low-altitude economy.”

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