Analyst: Bizjet Delivery Totals Might Be New Normal | Aviation International News

Analyst: Bizjet Delivery Totals Might Be New Normal

According to Brian Foley, the high of more than 1,300 deliveries in 2008 should be viewed as an anomaly, not a benchmark.

By Curt Epstein • Business Aviation Services Editor

January 25, 2018

With airframers awaiting signs of a major rebound in new business jet sales, industry analyst Brian Foley believes the pattern seen since 2011, an average of 692 deliveries a year with a standard deviation of just 25, might not be easy to break. “Statistically, there’s a pretty good chance that 2017 results will also fall within that narrow band, as will 2018's,” he noted. “This trend has not been random, but rather a symphony of equal and opposite market forces holding deliveries in tight equilibrium.”

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