New Report Predicts Slow Recovery for Civil Aerospace | Aviation International News

New Report Predicts Slow Recovery for Civil Aerospace

Roland Berger says the next few years will be more of a transition than a recovery for civil aviation, as air transport demand gradually returns.

Airline capacity in China, which had fallen 80 percent year-over-year in early February, has recovered to about a 30 percent deficit this month compared with 2019 levels.

By Charles Alcock • Managing Editor

July 22, 2020

Airline capacity may not return to 2019 levels until 2024, as a possible “new normal” level of revenue passenger kilometers (RPKs) reaches no more than 80 percent of last year’s numbers by around the summer of 2022, according to the latest projections from aviation consultancy Roland Berger. Presenting its updated projections at the FIA Connect event on Wednesday, the company predicted that the traffic declines will result in demand for new airliners falling by as much as 43 percent over the next 10 years.

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