A new report released by Forecast International says that Embraer will collect 40.8 percent of the projected $99.7 billion in sales of regional aircraft over the next 10 years, despite the lack of a turboprop in its existing product line. The Newtown, Conn.-based aerospace market research firm also predicts that Bombardier will take a 33.2-percent share over the next decade, while ATR secures 7 percent. The projection leaves the remaining 20 percent or so to the new Sukhoi, AVIC I and likely Mitsubishi entrants.
Overall, the company projects a market for 3,800 regional aircraft–2,539 regional jets and 1,261 turboprops–through the end of 2016. During that time, Embraer will produce 1,268 regional jets, or roughly 33 percent of the total; Bombardier will build 1,067 jets and turboprops combined, or about 28 percent; and ATR will ship 395 turboprops, said the report. None of the other three manufacturers will contribute more than 10 percent of the total, it added.