FutureFlight
Study Predicts Almost Half a Million Urban Air Taxis in Service by 2040
It seems hard to fathom that the emerging urban air mobility sector can deliver 430,000 new aircraft by 2040.
UAM environment
Frost & Sullivan predicts that urban air taxis will be commonplace by 2040. (Rendering: NASA)

There will be more than 430,000 urban air taxis in operation by 2040, according to a new Frost & Sullivan study. The international consulting firm predicts that operations will begin as early as 2022, initially in the UAE, New Zealand, and Singapore, followed by Brazil and Mexico.

This would mean new aircraft being delivered at an exceptional annual rate of almost 24,000 units. None of the new-generation electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft have completed type certification to date.