Pilot Shortage Expected To Continue Through Next Decade | Aviation International News

Training and Workforce

Pilot Shortage Expected To Continue Through Next Decade

Jefferies, citing Oliver Wyman insight, believes a global pilot shortage could continue through 2032, with the shortfall hitting North America first.

Pilots in flight deck of airliner (Photo: Pixabay) — Jefferies, citing Oliver Wyman insight, believes a global pilot shortage could continue through 2032, with the shortfall hitting North America first. (Photo: Pixabay)

By Kerry Lynch • Editor, AIN monthly magazine

January 23, 2023

A global pilot shortage is anticipated to extend through at least 2032, with North America anticipated to feel the brunt of it as post-Covid demand exceeds new entrants, according to analyst Jefferies. Citing recent insight from Oliver Wyman Global Aerospace partner Geoff Murray, Jefferies reported that the number of retiring pilots is improving from 13,000 in 2020 to 6,000 in 2022. In addition, Jefferies added that the global supply of pilots is also increasing.

Even so, that increase is surpassed by the surge in demand post-Covid, with an estimated shortage of growth of 11,000 in 2024. That shortfall could increase to 60,000 globally by 2032 “if mitigating actions are not taken,” Jefferies further stated.

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