FAA Scales Back Genav Forecast on Softer Piston Market
The agency's most recent genav forecast continues to predict the turbine aircraft fleet to grow by more than 15,255 aircraft over the next two decades.
The FAA's latest forecast calls for the general aviation fleet to shrink slightly over the next 20 years, as the projected rise in turbine aircraft deliveries won't be enough to offset lower piston shipments. (Photo: Chad Trautvetter/AIN)
The FAA's latest forecast calls for the general aviation fleet to shrink slightly over the next 20 years, as the projected rise in turbine aircraft deliveries won't be enough to offset lower piston shipments. (Photo: Chad Trautvetter/AIN)

Increases in the U.S. general aviation (GA) turbine fleet will offset declines in the piston sector over the next two decades, but the overall number of active GA aircraft will remain static, according to the FAA's just-released 2019 to 2039 forecast. The FAA predicts the GA fleet will total 211,575 in 2039, down from the current fleet of 212,875 aircraft (measured at the end of 2018). The 2039 number was further scaled back from last year’s 20-year forecast, which projected 214,090 GA aircraft by 2038.


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