Forecast pitfalls: Prognosticators Adapt To Evolving Times
Unit delivery forecasts have been predictably over-optimistic, but billings estimates have been surprisingly conservative.

A tumultuous business jet market over the past decade—from the rapidly climbing deliveries of the roaring 2000s to the recent low mark in 2017—has made forecasting tricky business. Unit delivery predictions made a decade ago have been overly optimistic, understandably. But in a market full of contradictions, the dollar predictions have been much more on target.


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